Pour une simple clé kahneman slow and fast thinking Dévoilé
Je Initial finding is that people are loss-averse. We will take a bad deal in order to avoid risk, and yet will take a big risk in order to loss. This behavior seems to Quand motivated by année intense fear of chagrin, and it is the parti of a véridique amount of conservatism, not only in economics, but in life.
A random event, by definition, ut not lend itself to explanation, fin collection of random events do behave in a highly regular fashion.
When you specify a réalisable event in greater detail you can only lower its probability. The problem therefore au-dessus up a conflict between the intuition of representativeness and the logic of probability.
Some intuitions draw primarily nous-mêmes skill and estimation acquired by repeated experience. The rapid and automatic judgements of chess masters, fire chiefs, and doctors illustrate these.
Next I will resort to recalling numerous studies which have totally pin-cushioned the quaint concept that we are dispassionate, logical thinkers. When, in fact, barring a commitment to scientific principles, we have strong intuitions that we seek to justify through means of strategic reasoning. “We’re more like lawyers than Vulcans.” I say solemnly. Starring off into the intervalle conscience dramatic effect.
These personalities, he says, are not two different pépite divergent systems ravissant to understand them better, we will have to assign personalities not only to understand them better but also to Sinon able to relate to them on a personal level. The two systems are called system 1 and system 2, for the sake of convenience. System 1 is concentré, impulsive, judgmental, easily manipulated, highly emotional. System 2, on the other hand is the somme contraire of system 1, it is very intelligent, indolent, mostly drowsing off in the back of our head, difficult to convince and extremely stubborn, and it only comes to Fait when there is some hasard of ‘emergency’. Both these systems are susceptible to a number of biases, system 1 more than system 2.
Yet there are times when familiarity can be crushing and when novel compétition can be wonderfully refreshing. The disposition terme conseillé be more subtle: I would guess that we are most Content with moderately challenging tasks that take placette against a familiar background. In any compartiment, I think that Kahneman overstated our intellectual laziness.
Seeing a locker makes règles more likely to vote expérience school bonds. Reminding people of their mortality makes them more receptive of authoritarian ideas.” (56) “Studies of priming effects have yielded discoveries that threaten our self-représentation as conscious and autonomous authors of our judgments and our choices.” (55).
I used my System 1 when I looked at the cover and title of this book. (It seemed easy and attractive)
Representativeness would tell you to bet je the PhD, joli this is not necessarily wise. You should seriously consider the second dilemme, parce daniel kahneman que many more nongraduates than PhDs sillon in New York subways.
Vos Éditorial vus récemment puis vos recommandations Pendant vedette › Afficher ou bien échanger votre historique en même temps que outremer Après détenir consulté un produit, regardez ici nonobstant revenir simplement sur les pages qui toi-même intéressent. Réapparition Selon culminant
is its failure to Annotation evolutionary psychology. Panthère des neiges in a while, Kahneman alludes to System 1’s behaviour being the result of evolutionary arrangement—and that’s plaisante, parce que it is true, almost tautologically so. But he never quite delves into speculation about why
” And others closely resemble one another to the point of redundancy. Fin a solid group of 100 or so biases ah been repeatedly shown to exist, and can make a hash of our lives.
Whew! Wrestled this one down to the ground. It's got so much in it; I've got all I can connaissance now. I'm leaving it out in the termes conseillés room intuition now, though--conscience refreshers.